BIG MARLEY’S UFC 231 DRAFT KINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN

oktober 28, 2019 i Uncategorized med admin

This weekend, we’ve got a 12-fight card with two name struggles in Toronto, Canada. We’re back to having PPV sized contests on DraftKings this week and there are some solid GPPs to chase this week. The main GPP is a $10 entry using $25,000 to 1st place. These are always my favourite contests to chase so I will be taking some shots at that. Other than that, I’ll adhere to my 3-entry maximum & single entry GPPs. I will also be picking up H2Hs through the week and I will find a fantastic quantity of play in cash games. With that said, here are a few plays I enjoy this week as well as my fade of the week:
Money Game play of this week — Joanna Jedrzejczyk ($6,800)
JJ might be the easiest money game punt of time in $6.8k. The line for Fight Goes To Conclusion is now -195 and when we are getting 5-rounds out of JJ using the striking volume she puts out then we have a solid floor there and it doesn’t matter whether she loses or wins. At that cost she lets you pay up for a few heavy favorites and if we can get 4 additional spots to win with a ~40-point loss from JJ in our lineup then we will be sitting quite pretty in our cash games this weekend.
GPP play of this week — Thiago Santos ($8,800)
Fight Does Not Go To Decision is currently lined at -495 for this battle. The most probable outcome is that somebody in this struggle gets knocked out in 15-minutes. With that knock-out probably comes in one 10-point knock down. If that can be in the 1st round, then you are already at 100-points even if it’s merely the 1st punch/kick of the evening. At $8.8k that is more than enough to offer you a chance at 1st place in a GPP. Thiago is the favorite in this struggle and Manuwa is 38-years old today, so that he can’t have a lot of time at the game left. I think we role with the favored here and toss him into our GPP lineups and await the fireworks.
Underdog drama of this week — Matthew Lopez ($7,300)
Matthew Lopez is my underdog of this week due to his wrestling/grappling possible. In addition, I believe he’s a underdog here. Lopez dropped his last 2 fights by knockout, so that is what I would worry about most with him Brad Katona is probably the better striker of both but he has never knocked anybody out, so I believe we have a good flooring here at $7.3k even if this struggle does remain standing since I don’t watch Katona knocking Lopez out. I think Lopez is probably the better wrestler of both though and I believe he lands multiple takedowns in this fight and can win a choice with a wrestling-heavy game program. Lopez lands 3.13 takedowns per 15-minutes in a 57 percent precision, and when he is getting pieced up on the toes I’m certain that he will be going for even more than that here. At $7.3k I think Lopez makes for a good play in all formats and that I think he gets a split decision win here since the street underdog.
Fade of the week — Katlyn Chookagian ($8,700)
I’m fading a few fighters this week , but the individual I never even considered using was Katlyn Chookagian. It’s not that I do not believe she can win, since she for sure could, and I believe she does. However, I do not see her paying off an $8.7k DK salary with a triumph. I believe we would require a complete from her in this fight to get 10x that wages and I believe that’s very unlikely to take place. Or, she will need FightMetric to rely all her screams as important strikes. The most Chookagian has scored in a UFC fight up to now in her profession is 83 DK points which was against Irene Aldana who places a much higher rate than Jessica Eye does. Even if she could get 83-points here then still would not be sufficient here to place her at the winning lineup at her 8.7k price tag. I think if you’re making 20 or less lineups this Saturday you may safely fade Chookagian and if she gets a win it should not hurt much.
Thanks for reading this and decent luck this weekend! If You’d like my full-card breakdown where I breakdown every fight on the card and provide my entire DraftKings evaluation, as well as all my pick predictions, you’ll find that for just $7.99 on this link below:

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